Russia’s New “Skyfall” Missile: A Dangerous Gamble?

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Recent satellite images have revealed the probable deployment site of Russia’s new missile, the 9M370 Burevestnik. This nuclear-powered, nuclear-armed cruise missile has been touted by President Vladimir Putin as “invincible.” Many experts have questioned its effectiveness and safety. This has sparked a debate on its true strategic value.

The Missile and Its Site

Two U.S. researchers used satellite images to identify the likely deployment site of the Burevestnik missile. The images, taken on July 26 by Planet Labs, show a construction project near a nuclear warhead storage facility known as Vologda-20. Which is located 295 miles north of Moscow.

The analysts, Decker Eveleth and Jeffery Lewis, found nine horizontal launch pads under construction at the site. These launch pads are grouped inside high berms. The possibly to shield them from attacks or prevent a chain reaction if one missile explodes.

Researcher believes this site is intended for the Burevestnik missile because it’s large. And a fixed missile system currently being developed by Russia. This conclusion is based on the unique layout and features of the site, which suggest it is designed for a significant and dangerous weapon.

Questions and Concerns

The Burevestnik missile is not without controversy. Putin has claimed that this missile has an almost unlimited range and can evade U.S. missile defenses. However, Western experts are skeptical. They argue that the missile might not add new capabilities to Russia’s arsenal and that it poses significant risks.

One of the main concerns is the missile’s poor test record. Since 2016, there have been at least 13 tests, but only two have been partially successful. The most alarming incident occurred in 2019 when a recovery attempt of a prototype led to a deadly explosion. Five Russian scientists died, and the event raised concerns about the missile’s safety.

Experts like Cheryl Rofer, a former U.S. nuclear weapons scientist, have voiced strong concerns. Rofer described the missile as a “flying Chernobyl” due to its potential to release radiation along its flight path. This risk of a catastrophic accident makes many experts question whether the Burevestnik is worth the danger it poses to Russia and the world.

Strategic Value or Political Tool?

Despite these concerns, Putin continues to push for the development and deployment of the Burevestnik. Some experts believe that the missile’s true value may be more political than strategic. The missile might not change the balance of nuclear power, but Russia could use it as a bargaining chip in future negotiations with the U.S.

Pavel Podvig, an expert on Russia’s nuclear forces, suggests that the Burevestnik is more of a “political weapon.” Putin projected strength before his 2018 re-election and sent a message to the U.S. not to ignore Russia’s concerns about missile defenses.

Way Forward

The Burevestnik represents a significant gamble by Russia. While it promises to be a powerful weapon, its poor test record, potential for catastrophic accidents, and questionable strategic value making it a controversial addition to Russia’s military arsenal. As the world watches closely, the deployment of this missile could either strengthen Russia’s defense or backfire in a dangerous and costly way.

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