Syria’s political landscape is changing rapidly following the overthrow of President Bashar al-Assad by rebel forces. Türkiye and Israel, two powerful neighbours, have taken decisive steps to secure their interests in the region. Their actions raise concerns about increased instability in the war-torn country and Kurdish autonomy.
Türkiye’s Focus on Unity and Kurdish Forces
Türkiye has declared its readiness to intervene if Syria’s unity is threatened. The Turkish government has expressed strong support for preserving Syria’s territorial integrity. This commitment stems from concerns about the potential fragmentation of Syria into smaller regions controlled by different factions.
Türkiye’s relationship with Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), the rebel group now in charge of Syria, gives it a significant role in shaping the country’s political transition. HTS, with backing from Ankara, is expected to stabilize parts of Syria. However, Türkiye’s primary focus remains on countering Kurdish forces, particularly the People’s Protection Units (YPG).
The YPG, linked to the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK), is considered a major security threat by Türkiye. Ankara has consistently opposed Kurdish autonomy in Syria, fearing it could embolden Kurdish groups within Türkiye. Military operations against the YPG are seen as imminent, as Türkiye has a history of launching cross-border incursions to eliminate perceived threats.
Türkiye’s Military Preparedness
Türkiye has demonstrated its willingness to act unilaterally in Syria. During Syria’s civil war, Türkiye carried out several military operations targeting Kurdish forces and securing border regions. These actions created buffer zones under Turkish control, which Ankara used to house refugees and prevent Kurdish expansion.
If Syria’s territorial integrity appears at risk, Türkiye is likely to respond swiftly. Ankara’s actions aim to prevent any scenario that could destabilize its borders or empower Kurdish groups. By maintaining a strong presence in Syria, Türkiye hopes to shape the country’s future while safeguarding its national security.
Israel’s Expanding Role in Syria
Meanwhile, Israel has intensified its military operations in Syria. Airstrikes have increased significantly, targeting areas near the border. Israeli forces have also taken control of a demilitarized buffer zone along Syria’s border, citing security concerns.
These actions, however, have sparked criticism. Some observers argue that Israel’s moves violate ceasefire agreements and aim to expand its influence in Syria. Israel has justified its actions by pointing to threats from Iranian-backed groups operating in Syria.
Israel’s airstrikes and territorial control reflect its long-standing strategy to counter Iran’s presence in the region. By targeting infrastructure and military sites linked to Iran, Israel seeks to limit Tehran’s ability to supply weapons and support proxy groups.
Competing Agendas in Syria’s Power Vacuum
The actions of Türkiye and Israel highlight the competing agendas shaping Syria’s future. Both countries are acting to secure their interests, but their maneuvers could deepen instability in the region.
Türkiye’s focus on Kurdish forces and Israel’s targeting of Iranian-backed groups reflect broader geopolitical rivalries. These actions, while addressing immediate security concerns, risk prolonging Syria’s turmoil by adding new layers of conflict.
The power vacuum created by Assad’s overthrow has left Syria vulnerable to external influences. Rebel groups, Kurdish forces, and foreign powers are all vying for control, making the situation highly unpredictable.
The Human Cost of Instability
The ongoing turmoil in Syria continues to impact millions of civilians. Years of conflict have left the country’s infrastructure in ruins, with many struggling to access basic services. The new power struggles could delay rebuilding efforts, leaving Syrians in a state of uncertainty.
Refugees who fled during the civil war are also affected by the shifting dynamics. Many are hesitant to return, fearing continued violence and a lack of stability. Neighbouring countries like Türkiye, which host large numbers of Syrian refugees. They face additional challenges as the situation remains unresolved.
Looking Ahead
Syria’s future remains uncertain as regional powers assert their agendas. Türkiye’s focus on territorial unity and Kurdish forces and Israel’s operations against Iranian-backed groups highlight the complex challenges ahead.
The actions of these nations could shape Syria’s political landscape, but they also risk fueling further instability. With no clear path to lasting peace, the region faces a long road to recovery.