An Australian non-profit research organisation has recommended that Australia acquire the B-21 stealth bomber from the United States. This recommendation is part of a series of initiatives intended to further cement Canberra’s ties with Washington.
A New Element in AUKUS
On 7 August 2024, the Institute for Public Affairs (IPA) provided six recommendations for Australia’s defense strategy. One key recommendation was the acquisition of the B-21 Raider. The IPA suggests this as an additional element to the AUKUS trilateral defense and security initiative, which involves Australia, the US, and the UK.
Hosting US B-21 Contingent
The IPA proposes that Australia not only seek to procure the B-21 but also offer to host a US B-21 contingent. This, they argue, would strengthen deterrence in the 2020s and manage the risk of delays in the AUKUS submarine program. The presence of B-21 bombers in Australia could enhance security and strategic stability in the region.
The B-21 Raider: An Overview
The B-21 Raider is designed to replace the existing B-1 Lancer and B-2 Spirit bombers in the US Air Force (USAF). It is the world’s first 6th generation aircraft and has entered low-rate initial production. Since its unveiling in December 2022, the B-21 has begun flight testing at Edwards Air Force Base. According to USAF officials, the aircraft continues to make progress.
Cost and Production
The USAF aims to produce at least 100 B-21 bombers. These aircraft are being manufactured by Northrop Grumman. Analysis by GlobalData estimates that the per unit cost, adjusted for inflation, is around $750 million. This is a significant decrease from the $2 billion cost of each of the older 20 B-2 bombers.
Benefits for Australia
The IPA argues that the B-21 could deliver significant long-range strike capability to the Australian Defence Force (ADF) sooner than nuclear-powered submarines. They believe the platform could enter US service by 2027. The ability to operate and maintain the B-21 in the Indo-Pacific would provide a powerful deterrent option for both the US and Australia.
B-21 vs AUKUS Submarines: Cost Considerations
The proposed cost of the AUKUS SSN submarines runs into the hundreds of billions of dollars over the program’s lifetime. Australia plans to acquire up to five of these submarines. In contrast, the potential cost of acquiring B-21 stealth bomber assuming the US would permit their sale, would be significantly less. The exact cost would depend on how many aircraft are procured.
Strategic Implications
Acquiring the B-21 could enhance Australia’s strategic capabilities. It would provide a flexible and powerful long-range strike option. This move could also strengthen Australia’s defense ties with the US, aligning with the broader goals of the AUKUS partnership.
Conclusion
The recommendation by the Institute for Public Affairs for Australia to acquire the B-21 stealth bomber presents a compelling strategic option. While the cost of acquisition is significant, it is potentially lower than the long-term investment in nuclear submarines. The B-21 offers an earlier and effective deterrent capability, reinforcing the defense partnership between Australia and the US. As it continues to navigate its defense strategy, the acquisition of the B-21 could play a crucial role in ensuring regional security and stability.